US Gas Prices Hit $4+ as Iran War Triggers Biggest Oil Supply Shock in History
U.S. gasoline averages surged past $4.018/gallon—up >30% since late-February U.S./Israel strikes on Iran—marking the highest level since 2022. Diesel jumped >40% above $5/gallon as Iranian attacks closed the Strait of Hormuz, the chokepoint for 20% of global oil. Oil benchmarks soared >50% in weeks; Trump administration deploys SPR releases, waivers,…
- → Lagged diesel cost pass-through elevates supermarket, e-commerce, and just-in-time inventory pricing by Q2.
- → Logistics-heavy sectors (retail, construction, agriculture) face margin compression and inventory build-ups.
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