What's Happening in Russia

🇷🇺 Russia

We track Russia as a major revisionist power reshaping the global order. From its military campaigns and hybrid warfare tactics to energy politics, sanctions resilience, relations with China and the Global South, and internal power dynamics — this category delivers forward-looking intelligence on Moscow’s strategic moves and their second-order effects across Europe, Eurasia, and beyond. Understanding Russia’s next chapters is essential for anticipating shifts in global security, energy markets, and great-power competition.

1 EVENT TRACKED

Ukraine Escalates Precision Drone Strikes on Russian Oil Export Terminals and Refineries

Ukrainian forces hit key sites including Ust-Luga (40% capacity loss), Primorsk, Yaroslavl refinery and Saratov in the past week — the 10th major energy strike this month — while Moscow enjoys premium crude pricing and partial US sanctions relief amid Middle East disruptions. Russia eyes gasoline export ban from April…

RIPPLE EFFECTS →

→ European refiners face higher feedstock costs and product imports, accelerating substitution toward US/Middle East barrels and lifting Atlantic Basin tanker rates.
→ Russian refiners divert crude to domestic stocks to avoid export ban penalties, creating inland logistical bottlenecks and potential regional fuel shortages.
+3 more →